Political Betting has an interesting post showing polling research examining how Tory voters are leaning

It is perhaps quite surprising that over 50% would switch back to Labour or Lib-Dems. But 23% is a good strong showing for UKIP, although I am not sure whether other parties wee listed or just those shown.

PaddyPower is offering odds on the number of votes UKIP will get in the General Election. The money seems to suggest UKIP should be in with a strong chance of passing the 1m vote barrier and up to 1.25m votes. Personally I think passing the 1m barrier is realistic.

Ladbrokes has consistently slashed its odds on UKIP winning a seat in the General Election. It is now offering 2/1, which also suggests a high degree of confidence UKIP could be packing its first MP off to Westminster.